Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10以上 40%
8〜9 39%
4〜5 35%
6〜7 31%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
30%
4〜5
35%
6〜7
31%
8〜9
39%
10以上
40%
10以上 40%
8〜9 39%
4〜5 35%
6〜7 31%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
4未満
$0 Vol.
30%
4〜5
$0 Vol.
35%
6〜7
$0 Vol.
31%
8〜9
$0 Vol.
39%
10以上
$0 Vol.
40%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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