Recent diplomatic momentum from President Trump’s May 2026 state visit to Beijing, which produced a formal reciprocal invitation for Xi Jinping to visit Washington on September 24, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Bilateral planning has continued through summer 2026 amid ongoing trade and sanctions discussions, positioning the trip as the first Chinese state visit in over a decade. This scheduled engagement, reinforced by public statements from both leaders and parallel economic coordination efforts, drives the elevated implied probability. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late disruptions such as sudden tariff escalations, domestic political shifts in either capital, or unforeseen health developments, though current preparations make such reversals unlikely before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
97% 確率
$681,296 Vol.
$681,296 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
97% 確率
$681,296 Vol.
$681,296 Vol.
2026/12/31
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum from President Trump’s May 2026 state visit to Beijing, which produced a formal reciprocal invitation for Xi Jinping to visit Washington on September 24, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Bilateral planning has continued through summer 2026 amid ongoing trade and sanctions discussions, positioning the trip as the first Chinese state visit in over a decade. This scheduled engagement, reinforced by public statements from both leaders and parallel economic coordination efforts, drives the elevated implied probability. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late disruptions such as sudden tariff escalations, domestic political shifts in either capital, or unforeseen health developments, though current preparations make such reversals unlikely before year-end resolution.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
音量
$681,296終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum from President Trump’s May 2026 state visit to Beijing, which produced a formal reciprocal invitation for Xi Jinping to visit Washington on September 24, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Bilateral planning has continued through summer 2026 amid ongoing trade and sanctions discussions, positioning the trip as the first Chinese state visit in over a decade. This scheduled engagement, reinforced by public statements from both leaders and parallel economic coordination efforts, drives the elevated implied probability. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late disruptions such as sudden tariff escalations, domestic political shifts in either capital, or unforeseen health developments, though current preparations make such reversals unlikely before year-end resolution.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$681,296終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum from President Trump’s May 2026 state visit to Beijing, which produced a formal reciprocal invitation for Xi Jinping to visit Washington on September 24, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Bilateral planning has continued through summer 2026 amid ongoing trade and sanctions discussions, positioning the trip as the first Chinese state visit in over a decade. This scheduled engagement, reinforced by public statements from both leaders and parallel economic coordination efforts, drives the elevated implied probability. Remaining uncertainty centers on potential late disruptions such as sudden tariff escalations, domestic political shifts in either capital, or unforeseen health developments, though current preparations make such reversals unlikely before year-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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