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地政学·ウクライナ

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
地政学·ウクライナ

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$53,784 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$53,784 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jared Kushner

Jared Kushner

$1,526 Vol.

86%

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Steve Witkoff

$1,365 Vol.

80%

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Andy Burnham

$2,034 Vol.

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Keith Kellogg

$1,531 Vol.

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Ursula von der Leyen

$1,453 Vol.

69%

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Mark Rutte

$33 Vol.

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Donald Tusk

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Maia Sandu

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António Costa

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Emmanuel Macron

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47%

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Friedrich Merz

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Mark Carney

$2,242 Vol.

47%

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António Guterres

$632 Vol.

16%

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JD Vance

$24,663 Vol.

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Donald Trump

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict shapes trader views on visits by December 31, 2026. European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen visited Kyiv in February for the fourth anniversary of the invasion, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte participated in a June NATO-Ukraine Council meeting there. Additional 2026 activity includes the Ukraine Recovery Conference and a July Southeast Europe Summit in Kyiv attended by several regional heads of government. Stalled peace talks involving U.S. mediators and European leaders, alongside periodic Russian strikes, influence the pace and profile of future trips. Scheduled multilateral events through year-end and any breakthroughs in negotiations or security guarantees remain key variables that could shift the range of likely visitors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$53,784
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic engagement amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict shapes trader views on visits by December 31, 2026. European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen visited Kyiv in February for the fourth anniversary of the invasion, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte participated in a June NATO-Ukraine Council meeting there. Additional 2026 activity includes the Ukraine Recovery Conference and a July Southeast Europe Summit in Kyiv attended by several regional heads of government. Stalled peace talks involving U.S. mediators and European leaders, alongside periodic Russian strikes, influence the pace and profile of future trips. Scheduled multilateral events through year-end and any breakthroughs in negotiations or security guarantees remain key variables that could shift the range of likely visitors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$53,784
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jared Kushner」で86%、次いで「Steve Witkoff」が80%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、86¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に86%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?」は$53.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jared Kushner」で86%であり、市場がこの結果に86%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Steve Witkoff」で80%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。