Recent diplomatic efforts between Russia and Ukraine, including U.S.-mediated rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in early 2026, produced only limited prisoner exchanges before ending without agreement on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine's international alignment. As of mid-2026, the Kremlin has stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming formal talks, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct leader-level meetings and third-party involvement. Short-term ceasefires for religious and Victory Day observances in spring 2026 failed to hold amid continued military operations. Traders assess the low probability of substantive negotiations by year-end against entrenched positions, with potential catalysts including European diplomatic initiatives or shifts in battlefield conditions that could alter incentives for compromise.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$351,332 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
13%
12月31日
45%
$351,332 Vol.
9月30日
$166,703 Vol.
13%
12月31日
$165,918 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic efforts between Russia and Ukraine, including U.S.-mediated rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in early 2026, produced only limited prisoner exchanges before ending without agreement on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine's international alignment. As of mid-2026, the Kremlin has stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming formal talks, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct leader-level meetings and third-party involvement. Short-term ceasefires for religious and Victory Day observances in spring 2026 failed to hold amid continued military operations. Traders assess the low probability of substantive negotiations by year-end against entrenched positions, with potential catalysts including European diplomatic initiatives or shifts in battlefield conditions that could alter incentives for compromise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
音量
$351,332終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic efforts between Russia and Ukraine, including U.S.-mediated rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in early 2026, produced only limited prisoner exchanges before ending without agreement on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine's international alignment. As of mid-2026, the Kremlin has stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming formal talks, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct leader-level meetings and third-party involvement. Short-term ceasefires for religious and Victory Day observances in spring 2026 failed to hold amid continued military operations. Traders assess the low probability of substantive negotiations by year-end against entrenched positions, with potential catalysts including European diplomatic initiatives or shifts in battlefield conditions that could alter incentives for compromise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$351,332終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between Russia and Ukraine, including U.S.-mediated rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in early 2026, produced only limited prisoner exchanges before ending without agreement on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, and Ukraine's international alignment. As of mid-2026, the Kremlin has stated there are no immediate prospects for resuming formal talks, while Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has proposed direct leader-level meetings and third-party involvement. Short-term ceasefires for religious and Victory Day observances in spring 2026 failed to hold amid continued military operations. Traders assess the low probability of substantive negotiations by year-end against entrenched positions, with potential catalysts including European diplomatic initiatives or shifts in battlefield conditions that could alter incentives for compromise.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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