Recent developments one year after the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Alaska have left Ukraine peace efforts stalled amid ongoing conflict and strained bilateral ties, with White House statements confirming no immediate plans for a follow-up meeting. Trader consensus on no 2026 encounter by year-end reflects limited diplomatic momentum, delayed multilateral opportunities such as the G20, and persistent barriers including NATO tensions and unresolved battlefield dynamics. China's elevated positioning aligns with potential host roles in future summits or trilateral formats involving Beijing, while low probabilities for U.S., Russia, or European venues track the absence of confirmed bilateral scheduling or procedural pathways. Uncertainties around sanctions relief, ceasefire preconditions, and leadership calendars continue to shape these assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?
12月31日までに会談なし 60%
China 35%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.

12月31日までに会談なし
60%

China
35%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
12月31日までに会談なし 60%
China 35%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.

12月31日までに会談なし
60%

China
35%

United States
4%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Russia
1%

Other EU country
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments one year after the August 2025 Trump-Putin summit in Alaska have left Ukraine peace efforts stalled amid ongoing conflict and strained bilateral ties, with White House statements confirming no immediate plans for a follow-up meeting. Trader consensus on no 2026 encounter by year-end reflects limited diplomatic momentum, delayed multilateral opportunities such as the G20, and persistent barriers including NATO tensions and unresolved battlefield dynamics. China's elevated positioning aligns with potential host roles in future summits or trilateral formats involving Beijing, while low probabilities for U.S., Russia, or European venues track the absence of confirmed bilateral scheduling or procedural pathways. Uncertainties around sanctions relief, ceasefire preconditions, and leadership calendars continue to shape these assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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