Recent stalled diplomacy between the US and Russia, following the August 2025 Anchorage summit that produced no Ukraine ceasefire agreement, underpins trader pricing with “No meeting by December 31” leading at 60%. Relations have deteriorated into deadlock by mid-2026, with Russian officials conceding maximalist territorial demands remain unmet and bilateral contacts limited to periodic phone calls rather than in-person summits. China’s 35% share reflects Putin’s deepening alignment with Beijing and frequent Xi meetings, positioning it as the likeliest neutral venue if talks resume. Low odds for US, Turkey, Gulf states, or European sites stem from absent scheduling signals, ongoing war escalation, and mutual distrust that has reduced prospects for high-level face-to-face engagement before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか？
12月31日までに会談なし 60%
China 35%
United States 3.4%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
60%
China
35%
United States
3%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Gulf country
1%
Russia
1%
Other EU country
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
12月31日までに会談なし 60%
China 35%
United States 3.4%
Other <1%
$498,369 Vol.
$498,369 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日までに会談なし
$102,464 Vol.
60%
China
$63,930 Vol.
35%
United States
$25,765 Vol.
3%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,145 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,695 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$19,715 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent stalled diplomacy between the US and Russia, following the August 2025 Anchorage summit that produced no Ukraine ceasefire agreement, underpins trader pricing with “No meeting by December 31” leading at 60%. Relations have deteriorated into deadlock by mid-2026, with Russian officials conceding maximalist territorial demands remain unmet and bilateral contacts limited to periodic phone calls rather than in-person summits. China’s 35% share reflects Putin’s deepening alignment with Beijing and frequent Xi meetings, positioning it as the likeliest neutral venue if talks resume. Low odds for US, Turkey, Gulf states, or European sites stem from absent scheduling signals, ongoing war escalation, and mutual distrust that has reduced prospects for high-level face-to-face engagement before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$498,369終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent stalled diplomacy between the US and Russia, following the August 2025 Anchorage summit that produced no Ukraine ceasefire agreement, underpins trader pricing with “No meeting by December 31” leading at 60%. Relations have deteriorated into deadlock by mid-2026, with Russian officials conceding maximalist territorial demands remain unmet and bilateral contacts limited to periodic phone calls rather than in-person summits. China’s 35% share reflects Putin’s deepening alignment with Beijing and frequent Xi meetings, positioning it as the likeliest neutral venue if talks resume. Low odds for US, Turkey, Gulf states, or European sites stem from absent scheduling signals, ongoing war escalation, and mutual distrust that has reduced prospects for high-level face-to-face engagement before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$498,369終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stalled diplomacy between the US and Russia, following the August 2025 Anchorage summit that produced no Ukraine ceasefire agreement, underpins trader pricing with “No meeting by December 31” leading at 60%. Relations have deteriorated into deadlock by mid-2026, with Russian officials conceding maximalist territorial demands remain unmet and bilateral contacts limited to periodic phone calls rather than in-person summits. China’s 35% share reflects Putin’s deepening alignment with Beijing and frequent Xi meetings, positioning it as the likeliest neutral venue if talks resume. Low odds for US, Turkey, Gulf states, or European sites stem from absent scheduling signals, ongoing war escalation, and mutual distrust that has reduced prospects for high-level face-to-face engagement before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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