Traders assign a 99.6 percent probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy bilateral meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled summit or confirmed diplomatic channel for direct leader-level engagement in the narrow remaining window. Putin has repeatedly stated there is “no point” in such a meeting absent Ukrainian acceptance of core Russian conditions on territory and neutrality, a stance reiterated in mid-2026. Ongoing trilateral envoy talks involving the United States have produced prisoner exchanges and procedural steps but have not advanced to the bilateral format required for market resolution. Recent escalations, including intensified Russian missile strikes and Ukrainian drone operations, have further hardened positions without generating the breakthroughs needed for a rapid summit. A last-minute announcement facilitated by U.S. intermediaries remains the primary, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$74,638 Vol.
$74,638 Vol.
はい
$74,638 Vol.
$74,638 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.6 percent probability against a Putin-Zelenskyy bilateral meeting by August 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any scheduled summit or confirmed diplomatic channel for direct leader-level engagement in the narrow remaining window. Putin has repeatedly stated there is “no point” in such a meeting absent Ukrainian acceptance of core Russian conditions on territory and neutrality, a stance reiterated in mid-2026. Ongoing trilateral envoy talks involving the United States have produced prisoner exchanges and procedural steps but have not advanced to the bilateral format required for market resolution. Recent escalations, including intensified Russian missile strikes and Ukrainian drone operations, have further hardened positions without generating the breakthroughs needed for a rapid summit. A last-minute announcement facilitated by U.S. intermediaries remains the primary, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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