Georgia's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican baseline, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent's 67 percent general-election margin in 2024. The open seat following Barry Loudermilk's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that consolidated behind neurosurgeon John Cowan after his June runoff victory, while Democrat Chris Harden secured the opposing nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's suburban and exurban composition north of Atlanta. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
7%
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$30,469 Vol.
95%
民主党
$11,527 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican baseline, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent's 67 percent general-election margin in 2024. The open seat following Barry Loudermilk's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that consolidated behind neurosurgeon John Cowan after his June runoff victory, while Democrat Chris Harden secured the opposing nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's suburban and exurban composition north of Atlanta. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$41,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican baseline, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent's 67 percent general-election margin in 2024. The open seat following Barry Loudermilk's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that consolidated behind neurosurgeon John Cowan after his June runoff victory, while Democrat Chris Harden secured the opposing nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's suburban and exurban composition north of Atlanta. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican baseline, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent's 67 percent general-election margin in 2024. The open seat following Barry Loudermilk's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that consolidated behind neurosurgeon John Cowan after his June runoff victory, while Democrat Chris Harden secured the opposing nomination. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's suburban and exurban composition north of Atlanta. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. A national Democratic surge, significant scandal involving the Republican candidate, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability given current fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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