The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the NC-09 House election market due to the district’s consistent partisan tilt, including an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a 16-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest. Incumbent Richard Hudson secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from structural advantages in this Solid Republican seat. On August 5, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its competitive watch list, highlighting Democratic nominee Richard Ojeda’s general-election effort and potential turnout factors that support the 19% Democratic share. Traders’ pricing reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026, election, with limited recent polling shifts altering the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,976 Vol.
$19,976 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
$19,976 Vol.
$19,976 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,966 Vol.
80%
民主党
$10,010 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the NC-09 House election market due to the district’s consistent partisan tilt, including an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a 16-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest. Incumbent Richard Hudson secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from structural advantages in this Solid Republican seat. On August 5, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its competitive watch list, highlighting Democratic nominee Richard Ojeda’s general-election effort and potential turnout factors that support the 19% Democratic share. Traders’ pricing reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026, election, with limited recent polling shifts altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$19,976終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the NC-09 House election market due to the district’s consistent partisan tilt, including an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a 16-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest. Incumbent Richard Hudson secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from structural advantages in this Solid Republican seat. On August 5, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its competitive watch list, highlighting Democratic nominee Richard Ojeda’s general-election effort and potential turnout factors that support the 19% Democratic share. Traders’ pricing reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026, election, with limited recent polling shifts altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,976終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 80% implied probability in the NC-09 House election market due to the district’s consistent partisan tilt, including an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a 16-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest. Incumbent Richard Hudson secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from structural advantages in this Solid Republican seat. On August 5, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its competitive watch list, highlighting Democratic nominee Richard Ojeda’s general-election effort and potential turnout factors that support the 19% Democratic share. Traders’ pricing reflects these fundamentals ahead of the November 3, 2026, election, with limited recent polling shifts altering the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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