Steve Hilton leads the Fresno County governor market at 66.5% implied probability, ahead of Xavier Becerra at 30.5%, reflecting the county’s more Republican-leaning electorate relative to statewide Democratic dominance. Hilton advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the Republican nominee after outperforming other GOP contenders and securing the second spot overall, while Becerra topped the Democratic field. Fresno voters favored Hilton in primary returns by a wide margin over Becerra, consistent with the county’s roughly even partisan split and 18-point Republican tilt versus California as a whole. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus prices in Hilton’s stronger local support base and limited statewide headwinds for the GOP candidate in this specific jurisdiction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
スティーブ・ヒルトン
67%
ザビエル・ベセラ
31%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
スティーブ・ヒルトン
$1,587 Vol.
67%
ザビエル・ベセラ
$1,264 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton leads the Fresno County governor market at 66.5% implied probability, ahead of Xavier Becerra at 30.5%, reflecting the county’s more Republican-leaning electorate relative to statewide Democratic dominance. Hilton advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the Republican nominee after outperforming other GOP contenders and securing the second spot overall, while Becerra topped the Democratic field. Fresno voters favored Hilton in primary returns by a wide margin over Becerra, consistent with the county’s roughly even partisan split and 18-point Republican tilt versus California as a whole. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus prices in Hilton’s stronger local support base and limited statewide headwinds for the GOP candidate in this specific jurisdiction.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
音量
$2,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton leads the Fresno County governor market at 66.5% implied probability, ahead of Xavier Becerra at 30.5%, reflecting the county’s more Republican-leaning electorate relative to statewide Democratic dominance. Hilton advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the Republican nominee after outperforming other GOP contenders and securing the second spot overall, while Becerra topped the Democratic field. Fresno voters favored Hilton in primary returns by a wide margin over Becerra, consistent with the county’s roughly even partisan split and 18-point Republican tilt versus California as a whole. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus prices in Hilton’s stronger local support base and limited statewide headwinds for the GOP candidate in this specific jurisdiction.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
音量
$2,851終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Steve Hilton leads the Fresno County governor market at 66.5% implied probability, ahead of Xavier Becerra at 30.5%, reflecting the county’s more Republican-leaning electorate relative to statewide Democratic dominance. Hilton advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the Republican nominee after outperforming other GOP contenders and securing the second spot overall, while Becerra topped the Democratic field. Fresno voters favored Hilton in primary returns by a wide margin over Becerra, consistent with the county’s roughly even partisan split and 18-point Republican tilt versus California as a whole. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus prices in Hilton’s stronger local support base and limited statewide headwinds for the GOP candidate in this specific jurisdiction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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