Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in the NY-19 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his party at 89.5 percent. Riley benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising networks following his prior win in this competitive Hudson Valley and Catskills district. Republican nominee Peter Oberacker, who secured the GOP primary in June 2026, trails at 9.5 percent amid a modest Democratic lean in the seat's partisan voting index. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Lean Democrat. Limited new developments since the primary have kept probabilities stable, with no major polling shifts or external events altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
90%
共和党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,341 Vol.
90%
共和党
$2,786 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in the NY-19 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his party at 89.5 percent. Riley benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising networks following his prior win in this competitive Hudson Valley and Catskills district. Republican nominee Peter Oberacker, who secured the GOP primary in June 2026, trails at 9.5 percent amid a modest Democratic lean in the seat's partisan voting index. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Lean Democrat. Limited new developments since the primary have kept probabilities stable, with no major polling shifts or external events altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$5,126終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in the NY-19 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his party at 89.5 percent. Riley benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising networks following his prior win in this competitive Hudson Valley and Catskills district. Republican nominee Peter Oberacker, who secured the GOP primary in June 2026, trails at 9.5 percent amid a modest Democratic lean in the seat's partisan voting index. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Lean Democrat. Limited new developments since the primary have kept probabilities stable, with no major polling shifts or external events altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,126終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a strong position in the NY-19 House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing his party at 89.5 percent. Riley benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and established fundraising networks following his prior win in this competitive Hudson Valley and Catskills district. Republican nominee Peter Oberacker, who secured the GOP primary in June 2026, trails at 9.5 percent amid a modest Democratic lean in the seat's partisan voting index. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Lean Democrat. Limited new developments since the primary have kept probabilities stable, with no major polling shifts or external events altering the outlook ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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