Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability as Maricopa County winner in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, with Andy Biggs at 11%, reflecting recent statewide polling that shows the Democratic incumbent leading the Republican nominee by 6–15 points among likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages with independents and women, and her selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate for the new lieutenant governor position. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has shown weaker support consolidation among Republicans in subsequent surveys. Maricopa County, home to over half the state’s voters and the site of prior election administration disputes now resolved by a July settlement, remains the decisive battleground where these trends are expected to play out ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ケイティ・ホッブス（民主党）
88%
アンディ・ビッグス（共和党）
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ケイティ・ホッブス（民主党）
$726 Vol.
88%
アンディ・ビッグス（共和党）
$116 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability as Maricopa County winner in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, with Andy Biggs at 11%, reflecting recent statewide polling that shows the Democratic incumbent leading the Republican nominee by 6–15 points among likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages with independents and women, and her selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate for the new lieutenant governor position. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has shown weaker support consolidation among Republicans in subsequent surveys. Maricopa County, home to over half the state’s voters and the site of prior election administration disputes now resolved by a July settlement, remains the decisive battleground where these trends are expected to play out ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
音量
$841終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability as Maricopa County winner in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, with Andy Biggs at 11%, reflecting recent statewide polling that shows the Democratic incumbent leading the Republican nominee by 6–15 points among likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages with independents and women, and her selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate for the new lieutenant governor position. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has shown weaker support consolidation among Republicans in subsequent surveys. Maricopa County, home to over half the state’s voters and the site of prior election administration disputes now resolved by a July settlement, remains the decisive battleground where these trends are expected to play out ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
音量
$841終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 87% implied probability as Maricopa County winner in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, with Andy Biggs at 11%, reflecting recent statewide polling that shows the Democratic incumbent leading the Republican nominee by 6–15 points among likely voters. Hobbs benefits from strong consolidation among Democrats, advantages with independents and women, and her selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate for the new lieutenant governor position. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has shown weaker support consolidation among Republicans in subsequent surveys. Maricopa County, home to over half the state’s voters and the site of prior election administration disputes now resolved by a July settlement, remains the decisive battleground where these trends are expected to play out ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問