The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日25万未満 45%
35万～40万 45%
45万票以上 45%
25万〜30万 45%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
25万未満
45%
25万〜30万
45%
30万-35万
45%
35万～40万
45%
40万～45万
45%
45万票以上
45%
25万未満 45%
35万～40万 45%
45万票以上 45%
25万〜30万 45%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
25万未満
$0 Vol.
45%
25万〜30万
$0 Vol.
45%
30万-35万
$0 Vol.
45%
35万～40万
$0 Vol.
45%
40万～45万
$0 Vol.
45%
45万票以上
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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