The closely matched prices across turnout ranges for Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a low-competition race between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Recent August 6 primaries showed typical low participation, consistent with the state’s historical midterm patterns of roughly 1.7–2 million total votes in comparable cycles. An open gubernatorial contest and variable early-voting trends could lift or suppress overall ballots, while registered-voter totals near 4.3 million and limited national salience keep the outcome sensitive to turnout drivers such as local issues or weather on Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.6M-1.8M 49%
2.6M+ 45%
2.2M-2.4M 44%
1.8M-2M 42%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<1.6M
41%
1.6M-1.8M
49%
1.8M-2M
42%
2M-2.2M
39%
2.2M-2.4M
44%
2.4M-2.6M
40%
2.6M+
45%
1.6M-1.8M 49%
2.6M+ 45%
2.2M-2.4M 44%
1.8M-2M 42%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
<1.6M
$0 Vol.
41%
1.6M-1.8M
$0 Vol.
49%
1.8M-2M
$0 Vol.
42%
2M-2.2M
$0 Vol.
39%
2.2M-2.4M
$0 Vol.
44%
2.4M-2.6M
$0 Vol.
40%
2.6M+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched prices across turnout ranges for Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a low-competition race between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Recent August 6 primaries showed typical low participation, consistent with the state’s historical midterm patterns of roughly 1.7–2 million total votes in comparable cycles. An open gubernatorial contest and variable early-voting trends could lift or suppress overall ballots, while registered-voter totals near 4.3 million and limited national salience keep the outcome sensitive to turnout drivers such as local issues or weather on Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched prices across turnout ranges for Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a low-competition race between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Recent August 6 primaries showed typical low participation, consistent with the state’s historical midterm patterns of roughly 1.7–2 million total votes in comparable cycles. An open gubernatorial contest and variable early-voting trends could lift or suppress overall ballots, while registered-voter totals near 4.3 million and limited national salience keep the outcome sensitive to turnout drivers such as local issues or weather on Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched prices across turnout ranges for Tennessee’s November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate election reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a low-competition race between incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty and Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw. Recent August 6 primaries showed typical low participation, consistent with the state’s historical midterm patterns of roughly 1.7–2 million total votes in comparable cycles. An open gubernatorial contest and variable early-voting trends could lift or suppress overall ballots, while registered-voter totals near 4.3 million and limited national salience keep the outcome sensitive to turnout drivers such as local issues or weather on Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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