Maryland's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics spanning suburban Howard County, Annapolis in Anne Arundel County, and portions of Carroll County. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Berney Flowers advanced from a smaller field. These outcomes, combined with the seat's 2024 general election margin and consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district further constrain competitive prospects ahead of the November general election. Shifts remain possible only in the event of major candidate-specific developments or an unforeseen national political realignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,807 Vol.
96%
共和党
$7,458 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics spanning suburban Howard County, Annapolis in Anne Arundel County, and portions of Carroll County. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Berney Flowers advanced from a smaller field. These outcomes, combined with the seat's 2024 general election margin and consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district further constrain competitive prospects ahead of the November general election. Shifts remain possible only in the event of major candidate-specific developments or an unforeseen national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$28,265終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics spanning suburban Howard County, Annapolis in Anne Arundel County, and portions of Carroll County. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Berney Flowers advanced from a smaller field. These outcomes, combined with the seat's 2024 general election margin and consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district further constrain competitive prospects ahead of the November general election. Shifts remain possible only in the event of major candidate-specific developments or an unforeseen national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,265終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates due to its demographics spanning suburban Howard County, Annapolis in Anne Arundel County, and portions of Carroll County. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Berney Flowers advanced from a smaller field. These outcomes, combined with the seat's 2024 general election margin and consistent partisan voting patterns, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district further constrain competitive prospects ahead of the November general election. Shifts remain possible only in the event of major candidate-specific developments or an unforeseen national political realignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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