Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$46,270 Vol.
$46,270 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,850 Vol.
97%
共和党
$25,421 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$46,270終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$46,270終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district, anchored in Prince George’s County suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88 percent share in 2024. Glenn Ivey secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him for the November general election. The Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, faces no meaningful organized opposition in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns create structural barriers to crossover support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, treating the seat as reliably Democratic absent an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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