The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic tilt and history of consistent margins underpin the Democratic Party's 94.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March primary with a plurality against a crowded field, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner in this North Side Chicago and suburban North Shore district. Republican John Elleson advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition on his side. Structural factors including voter registration advantages and past results limit Republican paths absent a major national swing, candidate scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,567 Vol.
$30,567 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$30,567 Vol.
$30,567 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,224 Vol.
95%
共和党
$13,343 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic tilt and history of consistent margins underpin the Democratic Party's 94.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March primary with a plurality against a crowded field, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner in this North Side Chicago and suburban North Shore district. Republican John Elleson advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition on his side. Structural factors including voter registration advantages and past results limit Republican paths absent a major national swing, candidate scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$30,567終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic tilt and history of consistent margins underpin the Democratic Party's 94.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March primary with a plurality against a crowded field, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner in this North Side Chicago and suburban North Shore district. Republican John Elleson advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition on his side. Structural factors including voter registration advantages and past results limit Republican paths absent a major national swing, candidate scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,567終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic tilt and history of consistent margins underpin the Democratic Party's 94.5% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Democrat Daniel Biss secured the nomination in the March primary with a plurality against a crowded field, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner in this North Side Chicago and suburban North Shore district. Republican John Elleson advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition on his side. Structural factors including voter registration advantages and past results limit Republican paths absent a major national swing, candidate scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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