The heavily Democratic character of Texas's 20th congressional district, anchored in San Antonio and showing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around an incumbent hold. Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with overwhelming support, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a seat that has never elected a Republican. Redistricting completed in 2025 preserved the district's partisan profile rather than creating new vulnerabilities. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,899 Vol.
$24,899 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$24,899 Vol.
$24,899 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,368 Vol.
94%
共和党
$12,531 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of Texas's 20th congressional district, anchored in San Antonio and showing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around an incumbent hold. Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with overwhelming support, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a seat that has never elected a Republican. Redistricting completed in 2025 preserved the district's partisan profile rather than creating new vulnerabilities. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$24,899終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic character of Texas's 20th congressional district, anchored in San Antonio and showing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around an incumbent hold. Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with overwhelming support, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a seat that has never elected a Republican. Redistricting completed in 2025 preserved the district's partisan profile rather than creating new vulnerabilities. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,899終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic character of Texas's 20th congressional district, anchored in San Antonio and showing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential and Senate candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus around an incumbent hold. Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with overwhelming support, while the Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a seat that has never elected a Republican. Redistricting completed in 2025 preserved the district's partisan profile rather than creating new vulnerabilities. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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