Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,552 Vol.
$16,552 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$16,552 Vol.
$16,552 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,726 Vol.
95%
共和党
$7,826 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$16,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland precincts that delivered the prior incumbent 67.8 percent in 2024. Longtime Representative Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the June Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo against a crowded field, while Republicans settled on Chris Chaffee. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, and trader pricing reflects the district’s established partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and typical midterm dynamics. A GOP upset would require an unusually weak Democratic performance, major candidate scandal, or an exceptional national Republican wave capable of overcoming the seat’s structural margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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