North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow win over progressive challenger Nida Allam. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Max Ganorkar faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of shifting the balance before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,735 Vol.
$28,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$28,735 Vol.
$28,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,749 Vol.
95%
共和党
$13,986 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow win over progressive challenger Nida Allam. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Max Ganorkar faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of shifting the balance before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow win over progressive challenger Nida Allam. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Max Ganorkar faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of shifting the balance before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Durham and Orange counties. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow win over progressive challenger Nida Allam. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Max Ganorkar faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of late-breaking developments capable of shifting the balance before the November 3 general election. A significant scandal, sharp national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問