Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated dew points near 23°C are limiting overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, anchoring the August 31 minimum temperature near 22–23°C according to the latest model consensus. Easterly flow and near-100% humidity through the night further suppress temperature drops, while daytime maxima remain capped around 25°C amid ongoing showers. Recent KMA guidance and ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread arising from subtle differences in timing of heaviest rainfall and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a 22–23°C low against the small chance of slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear late in the period. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
23℃ 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 20%
24°C 9%
18℃以下
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
20%
22°C
35%
23℃
36%
24°C
9%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
23℃ 36%
22°C 35%
21°C 20%
24°C 9%
18℃以下
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
20%
22°C
35%
23℃
36%
24°C
9%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated dew points near 23°C are limiting overnight radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region, anchoring the August 31 minimum temperature near 22–23°C according to the latest model consensus. Easterly flow and near-100% humidity through the night further suppress temperature drops, while daytime maxima remain capped around 25°C amid ongoing showers. Recent KMA guidance and ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, with only modest spread arising from subtle differences in timing of heaviest rainfall and boundary-layer mixing. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of a 22–23°C low against the small chance of slightly greater cooling if skies briefly clear late in the period. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問