Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の成都の最低気温は?
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
24°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
30%
23°C
19%
24°C
21%
25°C
79%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 19%
24°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
30%
23°C
19%
24°C
21%
25°C
79%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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