Persistent high pressure and a multi-week dry spell across central Texas have sustained extreme heat, with Austin highs exceeding 100°F and south winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Official NHC/NOAA guidance and model consensus project clear skies and lows in the upper 70s for August 25, consistent with recent daily minima of 76–79°F but well above the 72°F August climatological average. Key differentiators among closely matched market bins include minor variations in pre-dawn radiative cooling rates, dew-point suppression under low humidity, and localized wind gusts that can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. With resolution hours away, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble forecasts against the strong historical precedent for elevated overnight lows during prolonged heat events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のオースティンの最低気温は？
8月25日のオースティンの最低気温は？
88°F or higher 59%
69°F or below 35%
84-85°F 31%
72-73°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
69°F or below
35%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
59%
88°F or higher 59%
69°F or below 35%
84-85°F 31%
72-73°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
35%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
31%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
7%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a multi-week dry spell across central Texas have sustained extreme heat, with Austin highs exceeding 100°F and south winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Official NHC/NOAA guidance and model consensus project clear skies and lows in the upper 70s for August 25, consistent with recent daily minima of 76–79°F but well above the 72°F August climatological average. Key differentiators among closely matched market bins include minor variations in pre-dawn radiative cooling rates, dew-point suppression under low humidity, and localized wind gusts that can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. With resolution hours away, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble forecasts against the strong historical precedent for elevated overnight lows during prolonged heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a multi-week dry spell across central Texas have sustained extreme heat, with Austin highs exceeding 100°F and south winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Official NHC/NOAA guidance and model consensus project clear skies and lows in the upper 70s for August 25, consistent with recent daily minima of 76–79°F but well above the 72°F August climatological average. Key differentiators among closely matched market bins include minor variations in pre-dawn radiative cooling rates, dew-point suppression under low humidity, and localized wind gusts that can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. With resolution hours away, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble forecasts against the strong historical precedent for elevated overnight lows during prolonged heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETPersistent high pressure and a multi-week dry spell across central Texas have sustained extreme heat, with Austin highs exceeding 100°F and south winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Official NHC/NOAA guidance and model consensus project clear skies and lows in the upper 70s for August 25, consistent with recent daily minima of 76–79°F but well above the 72°F August climatological average. Key differentiators among closely matched market bins include minor variations in pre-dawn radiative cooling rates, dew-point suppression under low humidity, and localized wind gusts that can shift the exact minimum by 2–4°F. With resolution hours away, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble forecasts against the strong historical precedent for elevated overnight lows during prolonged heat events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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