Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,911 Vol.
$5,911 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$5,911 Vol.
$5,911 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23 stems from established summer conditions across eastern China, where observed midday readings have already reached 33–35°C amid typical August patterns of high solar insolation and southerly flow. Official monitoring shows daily maxima averaging near 32°C regionally, with forecast models confirming continued warmth and minimal diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology places August highs routinely above 30°C, making sub-26°C outcomes statistically implausible. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major data revision from primary weather services could alter resolution, though current observations and model agreement render such shifts highly improbable before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問