Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 26 near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows daytime heating to peak in the low-to-mid 30s. Late-August climatology shows daily highs typically declining from 34–35°C early in the month toward 30–32°C by month-end, positioning the current guidance slightly above average yet within normal variability. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 33°C outcome while leaving modest probability on 32°C or 34°C should boundary-layer conditions or insolation deviate slightly from the mean solution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のアンカラの最高気温は?
33°C 55%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
55%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
55%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models place Ankara’s maximum temperature on August 26 near 33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows daytime heating to peak in the low-to-mid 30s. Late-August climatology shows daily highs typically declining from 34–35°C early in the month toward 30–32°C by month-end, positioning the current guidance slightly above average yet within normal variability. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 33°C outcome while leaving modest probability on 32°C or 34°C should boundary-layer conditions or insolation deviate slightly from the mean solution. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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