Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced decisively from Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary and faces Republican Mary Silva in the November general election for the northern Seattle-area district. The seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and DelBene’s prior 63 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift would require a major national political realignment, significant local economic disruption, or an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera WA-01
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced decisively from Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary and faces Republican Mary Silva in the November general election for the northern Seattle-area district. The seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and DelBene’s prior 63 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. A realistic shift would require a major national political realignment, significant local economic disruption, or an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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