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Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

icon for Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi
Elezioni·Elezioni Globali

Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi

Jordan Bardella 26%

Édouard Philippe 17%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%

Gabriel Attal 6.5%

Polymarket

$92,164,836 Vol.

Jordan Bardella 26%

Édouard Philippe 17%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13%

Gabriel Attal 6.5%

Polymarket

$92,164,836 Vol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$1,017,009 Vol.

26%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$832,698 Vol.

17%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$674,957 Vol.

13%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,541,254 Vol.

6%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$653,722 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,323,950 Vol.

4%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,126,538 Vol.

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,308,149 Vol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,507,459 Vol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,069,581 Vol.

3%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,395,243 Vol.

2%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,038,853 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,612,135 Vol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$829,612 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,634,900 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,452,324 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,544,967 Vol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,039,035 Vol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$4,664,537 Vol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$3,521,030 Vol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$3,217,475 Vol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$4,397,469 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,653,134 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,860,751 Vol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$4,264,619 Vol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,282,247 Vol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,725,546 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,146,709 Vol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$4,094,227 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,686,927 Vol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$4,080,277 Vol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,574,027 Vol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$4,681,281 Vol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$5,144,897 Vol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,138,459 Vol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$3,431,947 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella leads trader consensus in the next French presidential election due to the National Rally's consistent polling strength and Marine Le Pen's pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction, which could clear or bar her path. Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon follow as the main challengers amid a record number of declared candidates. Recent May 2026 polls show Bardella advancing to and often prevailing in hypothetical runoffs, while left-wing fragmentation and center-right divisions limit any single alternative. The two-round system and uncertain eligibility timelines keep probabilities fluid, with developments like the July appeal verdict or coalition realignments among parties likely to shift positioning before the 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$92,164,836
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella leads trader consensus in the next French presidential election due to the National Rally's consistent polling strength and Marine Le Pen's pending appeal on her embezzlement conviction, which could clear or bar her path. Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon follow as the main challengers amid a record number of declared candidates. Recent May 2026 polls show Bardella advancing to and often prevailing in hypothetical runoffs, while left-wing fragmentation and center-right divisions limit any single alternative. The two-round system and uncertain eligibility timelines keep probabilities fluid, with developments like the July appeal verdict or coalition realignments among parties likely to shift positioning before the 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$92,164,836
Data di fine
30 apr 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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"Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 36 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jordan Bardella" a 26%, seguito da "Édouard Philippe" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 26¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" ha generato $92.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi", esplora i 36 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" è "Jordan Bardella" a 26%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 26% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Édouard Philippe" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossime elezioni presidenziali francesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.