Multiple candidates in the Republican primary for Georgia's open 11th district created a fragmented field, with neurosurgeon John Cowan, Loudermilk chief of staff Rob Adkerson, and others splitting support ahead of the May 19 vote. Georgia's majority requirement for outright nomination meant even a modest vote split could force a June 16 runoff, keeping the probability of no first-round winner near even. Trader assessments reflected the district's conservative primary electorate, limited polling, and historical patterns in crowded open-seat contests where no single contender consolidated backing early. A late endorsement surge or turnout surge for one frontrunner could have produced a majority and shifted the implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
47% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
47% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.Multiple candidates in the Republican primary for Georgia's open 11th district created a fragmented field, with neurosurgeon John Cowan, Loudermilk chief of staff Rob Adkerson, and others splitting support ahead of the May 19 vote. Georgia's majority requirement for outright nomination meant even a modest vote split could force a June 16 runoff, keeping the probability of no first-round winner near even. Trader assessments reflected the district's conservative primary electorate, limited polling, and historical patterns in crowded open-seat contests where no single contender consolidated backing early. A late endorsement surge or turnout surge for one frontrunner could have produced a majority and shifted the implied odds.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$66Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.Multiple candidates in the Republican primary for Georgia's open 11th district created a fragmented field, with neurosurgeon John Cowan, Loudermilk chief of staff Rob Adkerson, and others splitting support ahead of the May 19 vote. Georgia's majority requirement for outright nomination meant even a modest vote split could force a June 16 runoff, keeping the probability of no first-round winner near even. Trader assessments reflected the district's conservative primary electorate, limited polling, and historical patterns in crowded open-seat contests where no single contender consolidated backing early. A late endorsement surge or turnout surge for one frontrunner could have produced a majority and shifted the implied odds.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Volume
$66Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple candidates in the Republican primary for Georgia's open 11th district created a fragmented field, with neurosurgeon John Cowan, Loudermilk chief of staff Rob Adkerson, and others splitting support ahead of the May 19 vote. Georgia's majority requirement for outright nomination meant even a modest vote split could force a June 16 runoff, keeping the probability of no first-round winner near even. Trader assessments reflected the district's conservative primary electorate, limited polling, and historical patterns in crowded open-seat contests where no single contender consolidated backing early. A late endorsement surge or turnout surge for one frontrunner could have produced a majority and shifted the implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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