Delaware’s at-large congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the 2024 winner securing a double-digit margin that analysts view as a durable base. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Republicans remain focused on their September 15 primary among lesser-known candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s partisan composition and historical results, absent any major polling shifts or national developments that would reorder the race. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$18,412 Vol.
$18,412 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,250 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the 2024 winner securing a double-digit margin that analysts view as a durable base. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Republicans remain focused on their September 15 primary among lesser-known candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s partisan composition and historical results, absent any major polling shifts or national developments that would reorder the race. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,412Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the 2024 winner securing a double-digit margin that analysts view as a durable base. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Republicans remain focused on their September 15 primary among lesser-known candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s partisan composition and historical results, absent any major polling shifts or national developments that would reorder the race. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,412Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the 2024 winner securing a double-digit margin that analysts view as a durable base. Incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3, 2026 general election with strong fundraising and institutional support, while Republicans remain focused on their September 15 primary among lesser-known candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district’s partisan composition and historical results, absent any major polling shifts or national developments that would reorder the race. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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