The TX-37 race centers on a heavily Democratic Austin-area district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, where recent expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republicans advanced Lauren Peña from their May runoff amid limited statewide polling signals favoring the GOP. Traders price Democratic victory at 93.5 percent because historical election margins, urban voter concentration, and the absence of competitive fundraising or polling shifts reinforce the seat’s structural advantage. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Republican surge, a significant late scandal, or turnout collapse that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,058 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$1,300 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a heavily Democratic Austin-area district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, where recent expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republicans advanced Lauren Peña from their May runoff amid limited statewide polling signals favoring the GOP. Traders price Democratic victory at 93.5 percent because historical election margins, urban voter concentration, and the absence of competitive fundraising or polling shifts reinforce the seat’s structural advantage. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Republican surge, a significant late scandal, or turnout collapse that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,357Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race centers on a heavily Democratic Austin-area district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, where recent expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republicans advanced Lauren Peña from their May runoff amid limited statewide polling signals favoring the GOP. Traders price Democratic victory at 93.5 percent because historical election margins, urban voter concentration, and the absence of competitive fundraising or polling shifts reinforce the seat’s structural advantage. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Republican surge, a significant late scandal, or turnout collapse that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,357Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-37 race centers on a heavily Democratic Austin-area district with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30, where recent expert ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republicans advanced Lauren Peña from their May runoff amid limited statewide polling signals favoring the GOP. Traders price Democratic victory at 93.5 percent because historical election margins, urban voter concentration, and the absence of competitive fundraising or polling shifts reinforce the seat’s structural advantage. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Republican surge, a significant late scandal, or turnout collapse that overcomes the district’s consistent partisan baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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