The strongly Republican partisan composition of Texas's 36th congressional district, further solidified by 2025 redistricting that produced an R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination in the March primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in a race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with historical results and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. With the election approaching, no recent polling or campaign events indicate meaningful shifts in the competitive landscape. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-36 House Election Winner
TX-36 House Election Winner
$28,055 Vol.
$28,055 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$28,055 Vol.
$28,055 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,235 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$19,820 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican partisan composition of Texas's 36th congressional district, further solidified by 2025 redistricting that produced an R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination in the March primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in a race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with historical results and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. With the election approaching, no recent polling or campaign events indicate meaningful shifts in the competitive landscape. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,055Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican partisan composition of Texas's 36th congressional district, further solidified by 2025 redistricting that produced an R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination in the March primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in a race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with historical results and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. With the election approaching, no recent polling or campaign events indicate meaningful shifts in the competitive landscape. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,055Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Republican partisan composition of Texas's 36th congressional district, further solidified by 2025 redistricting that produced an R+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Brian Babin secured the GOP nomination in the March primary and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in a race rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, consistent with historical results and limited Democratic infrastructure in the district. With the election approaching, no recent polling or campaign events indicate meaningful shifts in the competitive landscape. Only an unforeseen development, such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national political realignment, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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