South Dakota's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests underpins trader consensus favoring the party in the at-large House district race. The Republican nominee secured a decisive June primary win in an open seat, while the Democratic candidate advanced unopposed, continuing a pattern unbroken since 2008. Major forecasters rate the November contest safe or solid Republican based on the state's voting history and limited crossover appeal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and include a significant late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national political shift before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$28,768 Vol.
$28,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$28,768 Vol.
$28,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$21,079 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$7,688 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests underpins trader consensus favoring the party in the at-large House district race. The Republican nominee secured a decisive June primary win in an open seat, while the Democratic candidate advanced unopposed, continuing a pattern unbroken since 2008. Major forecasters rate the November contest safe or solid Republican based on the state's voting history and limited crossover appeal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and include a significant late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national political shift before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$28,768Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests underpins trader consensus favoring the party in the at-large House district race. The Republican nominee secured a decisive June primary win in an open seat, while the Democratic candidate advanced unopposed, continuing a pattern unbroken since 2008. Major forecasters rate the November contest safe or solid Republican based on the state's voting history and limited crossover appeal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and include a significant late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national political shift before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,768Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's entrenched Republican advantage in federal contests underpins trader consensus favoring the party in the at-large House district race. The Republican nominee secured a decisive June primary win in an open seat, while the Democratic candidate advanced unopposed, continuing a pattern unbroken since 2008. Major forecasters rate the November contest safe or solid Republican based on the state's voting history and limited crossover appeal. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain narrow and include a significant late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or a broad national political shift before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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