Eric Barlow leads the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary with an 81.8% trader consensus probability, reflecting his consistent polling edge over Megan Degenfelder and the August 18 primary date just days away. As a state senator, Barlow has emphasized public lands protection and energy policy while demonstrating stronger individual donor breadth and grassroots support. Degenfelder, the state superintendent and Trump-endorsed candidate, trails at 15.7% amid splits on policy and lower small-donor volume despite higher average contributions. Brent Bien and other minor candidates remain under 3% combined, limited by narrower fundraising and visibility in recent debates. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits open the race, with trader pricing aligning closely to primary polling trends and candidate positioning in the final campaign stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEric Barlow 81.8%
Megan Degenfelder 15.6%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$265,297 Vol.
$265,297 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
16%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Eric Barlow 81.8%
Megan Degenfelder 15.6%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$265,297 Vol.
$265,297 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
16%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eric Barlow leads the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary with an 81.8% trader consensus probability, reflecting his consistent polling edge over Megan Degenfelder and the August 18 primary date just days away. As a state senator, Barlow has emphasized public lands protection and energy policy while demonstrating stronger individual donor breadth and grassroots support. Degenfelder, the state superintendent and Trump-endorsed candidate, trails at 15.7% amid splits on policy and lower small-donor volume despite higher average contributions. Brent Bien and other minor candidates remain under 3% combined, limited by narrower fundraising and visibility in recent debates. Incumbent Mark Gordon's term limits open the race, with trader pricing aligning closely to primary polling trends and candidate positioning in the final campaign stretch.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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