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Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro
Elezioni·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 96.8%

Douglas Ruas 1.7%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$324,071 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 96.8%

Douglas Ruas 1.7%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Rafa Luz <1%

Polymarket

$324,071 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$46,761 Vol.

97%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$13,030 Vol.

2%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$15,333 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$6,672 Vol.

1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$10,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Colonnello Busnello

Colonnello Busnello

$10,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$12,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$19,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$9,843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$134,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$12,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$11,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dottor Luizinho

Dottor Luizinho

$10,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$2,717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a dominant position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 97 percent, due to his established name recognition from multiple terms as Rio mayor, formal party conventions in July that secured broad PSD-led coalition backing including MDB allies, and his March resignation to focus on the campaign. Polling has consistently placed him well ahead of declared opponents such as Douglas Ruas and others with limited statewide visibility. The election on October 4 leaves limited time for shifts, though realistic challenges could include major scandals, unexpectedly strong debate performances by rivals, or late realignments among center-right factions that fragment his support base.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$324,071
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a dominant position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 97 percent, due to his established name recognition from multiple terms as Rio mayor, formal party conventions in July that secured broad PSD-led coalition backing including MDB allies, and his March resignation to focus on the campaign. Polling has consistently placed him well ahead of declared opponents such as Douglas Ruas and others with limited statewide visibility. The election on October 4 leaves limited time for shifts, though realistic challenges could include major scandals, unexpectedly strong debate performances by rivals, or late realignments among center-right factions that fragment his support base.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$324,071
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Eduardo Paes" a 97%, seguito da "Douglas Ruas" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 97¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro" ha generato $324.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 9, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro" è "Eduardo Paes" a 97%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 97% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Douglas Ruas" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore di Rio de Janeiro" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.