Brazil's Q2 2026 QoQ GDP growth market reflects trader focus on post-Q1 moderation after the 1.1% expansion driven by household consumption and public spending. Elevated SELIC rates have curbed investment momentum while inflation eased to 4.44% in July and unemployment held near 5.4% in June, supporting a soft-landing scenario around the 0.3%–0.5% band. Analysts project full-year growth of 1.5%–2.3%, implying quarterly sequential gains near potential amid fading fiscal stimulus and resilient but not accelerating domestic demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the September IBGE release and any BCB communications on rate path, with current implied probabilities aligning closely to consensus forecasts for contained expansion.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato0,3%–0,5% 53.0%
0,0%–0,2% 23.4%
0,6%–0,8% 16.0%
0,9%–1,1% 1.1%
$45,543 Vol.
$45,543 Vol.
1 set 2026
<0,0%
1%
0,0%–0,2%
23%
0,3%–0,5%
53%
0,6%–0,8%
16%
0,9%–1,1%
10%
1,2%–1,4%
<1%
≥1,5%
<1%
0,3%–0,5% 53.0%
0,0%–0,2% 23.4%
0,6%–0,8% 16.0%
0,9%–1,1% 1.1%
$45,543 Vol.
$45,543 Vol.
1 set 2026
<0,0%
$1,101 Vol.
1%
0,0%–0,2%
$3,407 Vol.
23%
0,3%–0,5%
$16,601 Vol.
53%
0,6%–0,8%
$14,748 Vol.
16%
0,9%–1,1%
$6,075 Vol.
10%
1,2%–1,4%
$2,775 Vol.
<1%
≥1,5%
$836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 QoQ GDP growth market reflects trader focus on post-Q1 moderation after the 1.1% expansion driven by household consumption and public spending. Elevated SELIC rates have curbed investment momentum while inflation eased to 4.44% in July and unemployment held near 5.4% in June, supporting a soft-landing scenario around the 0.3%–0.5% band. Analysts project full-year growth of 1.5%–2.3%, implying quarterly sequential gains near potential amid fading fiscal stimulus and resilient but not accelerating domestic demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the September IBGE release and any BCB communications on rate path, with current implied probabilities aligning closely to consensus forecasts for contained expansion.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$45,543Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil's Q2 2026 QoQ GDP growth market reflects trader focus on post-Q1 moderation after the 1.1% expansion driven by household consumption and public spending. Elevated SELIC rates have curbed investment momentum while inflation eased to 4.44% in July and unemployment held near 5.4% in June, supporting a soft-landing scenario around the 0.3%–0.5% band. Analysts project full-year growth of 1.5%–2.3%, implying quarterly sequential gains near potential amid fading fiscal stimulus and resilient but not accelerating domestic demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the September IBGE release and any BCB communications on rate path, with current implied probabilities aligning closely to consensus forecasts for contained expansion.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$45,543Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's Q2 2026 QoQ GDP growth market reflects trader focus on post-Q1 moderation after the 1.1% expansion driven by household consumption and public spending. Elevated SELIC rates have curbed investment momentum while inflation eased to 4.44% in July and unemployment held near 5.4% in June, supporting a soft-landing scenario around the 0.3%–0.5% band. Analysts project full-year growth of 1.5%–2.3%, implying quarterly sequential gains near potential amid fading fiscal stimulus and resilient but not accelerating domestic demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the September IBGE release and any BCB communications on rate path, with current implied probabilities aligning closely to consensus forecasts for contained expansion.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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