Virginia's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination automatically after the August 2026 primary was canceled, continuing a long pattern of comfortable reelection margins including 70 percent in 2024. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential contests underpin trader consensus. Republican challenger Edwin Rivera faces limited fundraising and no notable endorsements that would alter the trajectory. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
VA-03 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$42,234 Vol.
$42,234 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$42,234 Vol.
$42,234 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$20,585 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$21,649 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination automatically after the August 2026 primary was canceled, continuing a long pattern of comfortable reelection margins including 70 percent in 2024. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential contests underpin trader consensus. Republican challenger Edwin Rivera faces limited fundraising and no notable endorsements that would alter the trajectory. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination automatically after the August 2026 primary was canceled, continuing a long pattern of comfortable reelection margins including 70 percent in 2024. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential contests underpin trader consensus. Republican challenger Edwin Rivera faces limited fundraising and no notable endorsements that would alter the trajectory. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott secured the Democratic nomination automatically after the August 2026 primary was canceled, continuing a long pattern of comfortable reelection margins including 70 percent in 2024. The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential contests underpin trader consensus. Republican challenger Edwin Rivera faces limited fundraising and no notable endorsements that would alter the trajectory. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment exceeding historical precedents for this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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