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Politica·Primarie

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Politica·Primarie

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

Graham Nordone 20%+ 37%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 37%

Graham Nordone <5% 37%

Graham Nordone 15–20% 37%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Graham Nordone 20%+ 37%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 37%

Graham Nordone <5% 37%

Graham Nordone 15–20% 37%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Graham Nordone 20%+

Graham Nordone 20%+

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone 15–20%

Graham Nordone 15–20%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone 10–15%

Graham Nordone 10–15%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone 5–10%

Graham Nordone 5–10%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Graham Nordone <5%

Graham Nordone <5%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Norman <5%

Norman <5%

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Norman 5%+

Norman 5%+

$121 Vol.

41%

icon for Fry <5%

Fry <5%

$121 Vol.

41%

icon for Fry 5%+

Fry 5%+

$140 Vol.

46%

icon for Sanford wins

Sanford wins

$0 Vol.

36%

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded Republican primary field for South Carolina’s special U.S. Senate contest, scheduled for August 11, features Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford as the leading contenders, with recent polling showing the top two separated by just a few points amid roughly one-quarter undecided voters. Trump’s endorsement of Graham Nordone has elevated her profile following her appointment, while Norman’s congressional record and endorsements from House colleagues provide counter-momentum; Fry and Sanford add name recognition but trail in surveys. The fragmented ballot and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain tight margins across outcomes, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether any candidate can consolidate support before primary day. A strong debate showing, late endorsement, or regional turnout surge could widen gaps among the leaders.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$382
Data di fine
11 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The crowded Republican primary field for South Carolina’s special U.S. Senate contest, scheduled for August 11, features Darline Graham Nordone, Ralph Norman, Russell Fry, and Mark Sanford as the leading contenders, with recent polling showing the top two separated by just a few points amid roughly one-quarter undecided voters. Trump’s endorsement of Graham Nordone has elevated her profile following her appointment, while Norman’s congressional record and endorsements from House colleagues provide counter-momentum; Fry and Sanford add name recognition but trail in surveys. The fragmented ballot and absence of a dominant frontrunner sustain tight margins across outcomes, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over whether any candidate can consolidate support before primary day. A strong debate showing, late endorsement, or regional turnout surge could widen gaps among the leaders.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$382
Data di fine
11 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Correlati

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

63%
icon for Ralph Norman arriverà secondo al primo turno delle primarie speciali repubblicane del Senato della Carolina del Sud?

Ralph Norman arriverà secondo al primo turno delle primarie speciali repubblicane del Senato della Carolina del Sud?

48%
Sì
icon for Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni del Senato della Carolina del Sud del 2026 con uno scarto tra 0% e 5%?

Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni del Senato della Carolina del Sud del 2026 con uno scarto tra 0% e 5%?

40%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Fry 5%+" a 46%, seguito da "Norman 5%+" a 41%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 7, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" è "Fry 5%+" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Norman 5%+" a 41%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.