Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and re-elected with 63% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November general with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic control since the 1990s. The Republican nominee, Kellie Keenan, has not generated polling or fundraising momentum sufficient to close the structural gap. Only an unforeseen personal or ethical development involving Amo or an unprecedented national political shift would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRI-01 House Election Winner
RI-01 House Election Winner
$13,011 Vol.
$13,011 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,011 Vol.
$13,011 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,040 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,971 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and re-elected with 63% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November general with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic control since the 1990s. The Republican nominee, Kellie Keenan, has not generated polling or fundraising momentum sufficient to close the structural gap. Only an unforeseen personal or ethical development involving Amo or an unprecedented national political shift would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,011Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and re-elected with 63% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November general with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic control since the 1990s. The Republican nominee, Kellie Keenan, has not generated polling or fundraising momentum sufficient to close the structural gap. Only an unforeseen personal or ethical development involving Amo or an unprecedented national political shift would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,011Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Gabe Amo, first elected in a 2023 special election and re-elected with 63% in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and enters the November general with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic control since the 1990s. The Republican nominee, Kellie Keenan, has not generated polling or fundraising momentum sufficient to close the structural gap. Only an unforeseen personal or ethical development involving Amo or an unprecedented national political shift would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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