Texas’s 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt’s Senate bid, features a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough advanced as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and limited competitive polling, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few signs of shifts that would narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-38
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera TX-38
$24,196 Vol.
$24,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
87%
Partito Democratico
12%
$24,196 Vol.
$24,196 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$16,325 Vol.
87%
Partito Democratico
$7,871 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt’s Senate bid, features a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough advanced as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and limited competitive polling, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few signs of shifts that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$24,196Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt’s Senate bid, features a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough advanced as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and limited competitive polling, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few signs of shifts that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,196Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 38th congressional district, a suburban Houston seat vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt’s Senate bid, features a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning the May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough advanced as the Democratic nominee following the March primary. These outcomes, combined with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and limited competitive polling, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for standard campaign dynamics but few signs of shifts that would narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti