Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 17, 2026, Vancouver mayoral election due to a fragmented field of challengers under first-past-the-post rules, where a plurality suffices. Recent Research Co. polling from early August shows Sim at 30% among decided voters, ahead of Pete Fry (Vancouver Greens) and Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals) at 19% each, with Colleen Hardwick and others in single digits amid more than a quarter undecided. Vote splitting among left-leaning and centrist alternatives, including candidates from COPE, OneCity, and Vote Vancouver, has limited any single opponent’s consolidation despite stronger net favorability ratings for Fry and Allam. Sim’s recent proposal for a non-binding public safety plebiscite on the October ballot has drawn criticism from rivals as insufficient, yet it has not shifted the polling lead. These dynamics sustain Sim’s edge while keeping the race open to late consolidation or turnout shifts among the remaining contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKen Sim 40%
Pete Fry 28.6%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
29%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
4%

Sean Orr
1%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
Ken Sim 40%
Pete Fry 28.6%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
29%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
4%

Sean Orr
1%

John Coupar
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Tim Louis
<1%

Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the leading position in trader consensus for the October 17, 2026, Vancouver mayoral election due to a fragmented field of challengers under first-past-the-post rules, where a plurality suffices. Recent Research Co. polling from early August shows Sim at 30% among decided voters, ahead of Pete Fry (Vancouver Greens) and Kareem Allam (Vancouver Liberals) at 19% each, with Colleen Hardwick and others in single digits amid more than a quarter undecided. Vote splitting among left-leaning and centrist alternatives, including candidates from COPE, OneCity, and Vote Vancouver, has limited any single opponent’s consolidation despite stronger net favorability ratings for Fry and Allam. Sim’s recent proposal for a non-binding public safety plebiscite on the October ballot has drawn criticism from rivals as insufficient, yet it has not shifted the polling lead. These dynamics sustain Sim’s edge while keeping the race open to late consolidation or turnout shifts among the remaining contenders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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