Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces Republican nominee Cody Whipple in the November 2026 general election for Nevada’s 4th congressional district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s established partisan lean and Horsford’s prior 52.7% general-election result in 2024. Horsford secured the Democratic nomination without opposition following the June primaries, while Whipple prevailed decisively on the Republican side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, citing historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the balance. The modest Republican share aligns with the structural barriers challengers encounter in this district absent major turnout changes or late developments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$1,891 Vol.
88%
Republican Party
$2,214 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces Republican nominee Cody Whipple in the November 2026 general election for Nevada’s 4th congressional district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s established partisan lean and Horsford’s prior 52.7% general-election result in 2024. Horsford secured the Democratic nomination without opposition following the June primaries, while Whipple prevailed decisively on the Republican side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, citing historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the balance. The modest Republican share aligns with the structural barriers challengers encounter in this district absent major turnout changes or late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,105Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces Republican nominee Cody Whipple in the November 2026 general election for Nevada’s 4th congressional district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s established partisan lean and Horsford’s prior 52.7% general-election result in 2024. Horsford secured the Democratic nomination without opposition following the June primaries, while Whipple prevailed decisively on the Republican side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, citing historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the balance. The modest Republican share aligns with the structural barriers challengers encounter in this district absent major turnout changes or late developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,105Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford faces Republican nominee Cody Whipple in the November 2026 general election for Nevada’s 4th congressional district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat’s established partisan lean and Horsford’s prior 52.7% general-election result in 2024. Horsford secured the Democratic nomination without opposition following the June primaries, while Whipple prevailed decisively on the Republican side. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid Democratic, citing historical voting patterns, demographic composition, and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the balance. The modest Republican share aligns with the structural barriers challengers encounter in this district absent major turnout changes or late developments before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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