Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state with a strong recent record of GOP statewide victories shapes trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican outcome in the open 2026 governor's race, following term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 vote and holds polling edges of roughly 5–10 points over leading Democrat David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups, supported by fundraising advantages and endorsements from party figures. Democratic primary contenders remain less consolidated, while race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Republican. Recent primary polling and candidate positioning have reinforced these probabilities without major disruptions in the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
83%
Democratico
17%
$34,962 Vol.
$34,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$14,523 Vol.
83%
Democratico
$20,439 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state with a strong recent record of GOP statewide victories shapes trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican outcome in the open 2026 governor's race, following term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 vote and holds polling edges of roughly 5–10 points over leading Democrat David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups, supported by fundraising advantages and endorsements from party figures. Democratic primary contenders remain less consolidated, while race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Republican. Recent primary polling and candidate positioning have reinforced these probabilities without major disruptions in the final weeks before voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$34,962Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state with a strong recent record of GOP statewide victories shapes trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican outcome in the open 2026 governor's race, following term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 vote and holds polling edges of roughly 5–10 points over leading Democrat David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups, supported by fundraising advantages and endorsements from party figures. Democratic primary contenders remain less consolidated, while race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Republican. Recent primary polling and candidate positioning have reinforced these probabilities without major disruptions in the final weeks before voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$34,962Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state with a strong recent record of GOP statewide victories shapes trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican outcome in the open 2026 governor's race, following term limits on incumbent Ron DeSantis. U.S. Representative Byron Donalds leads the Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 vote and holds polling edges of roughly 5–10 points over leading Democrat David Jolly in hypothetical general-election matchups, supported by fundraising advantages and endorsements from party figures. Democratic primary contenders remain less consolidated, while race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Republican. Recent primary polling and candidate positioning have reinforced these probabilities without major disruptions in the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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