**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models (ECMWF, GFS, and local observations) point to an overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–25°C on August 26, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean climatology of 23–26°C minima under stable high pressure.** Light westerly winds off the Mediterranean Sea will moderate radiative cooling overnight, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Dew points around 20–23°C and relative humidity rising above 80% in the pre-dawn hours support this range, with little expected variation from sea-breeze effects or frontal systems. The closely matched market-implied probabilities on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) versus the 24–26°C cluster reflect trader focus on small model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or wind that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show August lows rarely deviate more than ±2–3°C from the mean without synoptic changes, which none are currently indicated. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will be the key near-term catalyst as the date approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
53%
21°C
37%
22°C
47%
23°C
47%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
47%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
53%
20°C or below 53%
30°C or higher 53%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models (ECMWF, GFS, and local observations) point to an overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–25°C on August 26, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean climatology of 23–26°C minima under stable high pressure.**
Light westerly winds off the Mediterranean Sea will moderate radiative cooling overnight, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Dew points around 20–23°C and relative humidity rising above 80% in the pre-dawn hours support this range, with little expected variation from sea-breeze effects or frontal systems.
The closely matched market-implied probabilities on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) versus the 24–26°C cluster reflect trader focus on small model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or wind that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show August lows rarely deviate more than ±2–3°C from the mean without synoptic changes, which none are currently indicated. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will be the key near-term catalyst as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models (ECMWF, GFS, and local observations) point to an overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–25°C on August 26, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean climatology of 23–26°C minima under stable high pressure.**
Light westerly winds off the Mediterranean Sea will moderate radiative cooling overnight, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Dew points around 20–23°C and relative humidity rising above 80% in the pre-dawn hours support this range, with little expected variation from sea-breeze effects or frontal systems.
The closely matched market-implied probabilities on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) versus the 24–26°C cluster reflect trader focus on small model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or wind that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show August lows rarely deviate more than ±2–3°C from the mean without synoptic changes, which none are currently indicated. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will be the key near-term catalyst as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models (ECMWF, GFS, and local observations) point to an overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–25°C on August 26, consistent with typical late-August Mediterranean climatology of 23–26°C minima under stable high pressure.** Light westerly winds off the Mediterranean Sea will moderate radiative cooling overnight, while clear to partly cloudy skies allow efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 31–33°C. Dew points around 20–23°C and relative humidity rising above 80% in the pre-dawn hours support this range, with little expected variation from sea-breeze effects or frontal systems. The closely matched market-implied probabilities on extremes (20°C or below vs. 30°C or higher) versus the 24–26°C cluster reflect trader focus on small model spread in exact minimum timing and any subtle increases in cloud cover or wind that could shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical analogs show August lows rarely deviate more than ±2–3°C from the mean without synoptic changes, which none are currently indicated. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will be the key near-term catalyst as the date approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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