Forecast uncertainty from ensemble models drives the closely matched probabilities, with 39°C or higher at 35.5% and 38°C at 26% reflecting modest spread in projected peak temperatures for Jeddah. Subtropical high pressure and Red Sea trough dynamics, modulated by sea surface temperatures and potential weak onshore flow, determine whether daytime heating reaches the upper 30s Celsius or pushes into the low 40s. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift maximums by 1–2°C, while climatological August baselines near 38°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF guidance ahead of August 26 will likely narrow trader consensus as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
39°C or higher 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 20%
36°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
20%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
36%
39°C or higher 36%
38°C 26%
37°C 20%
36°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C
$20 Vol.
4%
36°C
$0 Vol.
13%
37°C
$0 Vol.
20%
38°C
$0 Vol.
26%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from ensemble models drives the closely matched probabilities, with 39°C or higher at 35.5% and 38°C at 26% reflecting modest spread in projected peak temperatures for Jeddah. Subtropical high pressure and Red Sea trough dynamics, modulated by sea surface temperatures and potential weak onshore flow, determine whether daytime heating reaches the upper 30s Celsius or pushes into the low 40s. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift maximums by 1–2°C, while climatological August baselines near 38°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF guidance ahead of August 26 will likely narrow trader consensus as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from ensemble models drives the closely matched probabilities, with 39°C or higher at 35.5% and 38°C at 26% reflecting modest spread in projected peak temperatures for Jeddah. Subtropical high pressure and Red Sea trough dynamics, modulated by sea surface temperatures and potential weak onshore flow, determine whether daytime heating reaches the upper 30s Celsius or pushes into the low 40s. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift maximums by 1–2°C, while climatological August baselines near 38°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF guidance ahead of August 26 will likely narrow trader consensus as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from ensemble models drives the closely matched probabilities, with 39°C or higher at 35.5% and 38°C at 26% reflecting modest spread in projected peak temperatures for Jeddah. Subtropical high pressure and Red Sea trough dynamics, modulated by sea surface temperatures and potential weak onshore flow, determine whether daytime heating reaches the upper 30s Celsius or pushes into the low 40s. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary layer moisture and cloud cover that can shift maximums by 1–2°C, while climatological August baselines near 38°C provide limited guidance this close to the date. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF guidance ahead of August 26 will likely narrow trader consensus as resolution approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan