Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA and regional agencies indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 27–29°C, with ensemble runs showing a tight cluster around 28–29°C amid stable high pressure and light northerly flow. Key scientific differentiators include the strength of the Bosphorus sea breeze moderating urban heat island effects, afternoon cloud cover reducing solar heating, and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places the mean maximum near 28°C, but late-summer variability from passing troughs introduces the observed market spread, with resolution hinging on the official airport station reading at the day's warmest hour.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 26?
27°C 46%
29°C 42%
28°C 36%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
12%
27°C
46%
28°C
36%
29°C
42%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
27°C 46%
29°C 42%
28°C 36%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
12%
27°C
46%
28°C
36%
29°C
42%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like NOAA and regional agencies indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 27–29°C, with ensemble runs showing a tight cluster around 28–29°C amid stable high pressure and light northerly flow. Key scientific differentiators include the strength of the Bosphorus sea breeze moderating urban heat island effects, afternoon cloud cover reducing solar heating, and minor variations in boundary-layer moisture that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places the mean maximum near 28°C, but late-summer variability from passing troughs introduces the observed market spread, with resolution hinging on the official airport station reading at the day's warmest hour.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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