Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 21%
34°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
7%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
32°C 21%
34°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$4 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
29%
32°C
$3 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$5 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Shenzhen's August 26 peak temperature most likely falling in the 30–32°C range, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical patterns with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and afternoon convection potential. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, capturing uncertainty from local sea breezes, urban heat effects, and possible South China Sea influences that could nudge daytime maxima up or down by a degree. Historical climatology places August averages near 31°C, while recent model updates highlight stable steering patterns with low typhoon risk. Traders balance the odds of clear-sky warming against thunderstorm cooling ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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