Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term numerical weather models for Chongqing’s August 26 maximum, with probabilities tightly clustered around 36–38 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture, Sichuan Basin heat trapping, and potential afternoon convection that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2 °C. Recent regional observations indicate persistent above-normal warmth, yet model disagreement on exact timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts keeps adjacent bins competitive. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 34–36 °C with occasional excursions above 39 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of resolution thresholds to small atmospheric changes. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
37°C 28%
38°C 26%
40°C 19%
39°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
32°C or below
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
12%
36°C
15%
37°C
28%
38°C
26%
39°C
16%
40°C
19%
41°C
15%
42°C or higher
7%
37°C 28%
38°C 26%
40°C 19%
39°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
32°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$7 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
15%
37°C
$0 Vol.
28%
38°C
$0 Vol.
26%
39°C
$0 Vol.
16%
40°C
$0 Vol.
19%
41°C
$0 Vol.
15%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term numerical weather models for Chongqing’s August 26 maximum, with probabilities tightly clustered around 36–38 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture, Sichuan Basin heat trapping, and potential afternoon convection that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2 °C. Recent regional observations indicate persistent above-normal warmth, yet model disagreement on exact timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts keeps adjacent bins competitive. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 34–36 °C with occasional excursions above 39 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of resolution thresholds to small atmospheric changes. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term numerical weather models for Chongqing’s August 26 maximum, with probabilities tightly clustered around 36–38 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture, Sichuan Basin heat trapping, and potential afternoon convection that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2 °C. Recent regional observations indicate persistent above-normal warmth, yet model disagreement on exact timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts keeps adjacent bins competitive. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 34–36 °C with occasional excursions above 39 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of resolution thresholds to small atmospheric changes. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects high uncertainty in short-term numerical weather models for Chongqing’s August 26 maximum, with probabilities tightly clustered around 36–38 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable monsoon moisture, Sichuan Basin heat trapping, and potential afternoon convection that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2 °C. Recent regional observations indicate persistent above-normal warmth, yet model disagreement on exact timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts keeps adjacent bins competitive. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 34–36 °C with occasional excursions above 39 °C, underscoring the sensitivity of resolution thresholds to small atmospheric changes. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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