Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a daily maximum temperature on August 26 likely between 15°C and 17°C, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and westerly flow. This uncertainty, combined with the seasonal late-August cooling trend from typical highs near 22°C earlier in the month, supports the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime insolation under overcast conditions versus any clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence how much Atlantic air moderates temperatures. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 29%
16°C 26%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
29%
18°C
15%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
6%
17°C 29%
16°C 26%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$7 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a daily maximum temperature on August 26 likely between 15°C and 17°C, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and westerly flow. This uncertainty, combined with the seasonal late-August cooling trend from typical highs near 22°C earlier in the month, supports the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime insolation under overcast conditions versus any clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence how much Atlantic air moderates temperatures. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$22Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a daily maximum temperature on August 26 likely between 15°C and 17°C, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and westerly flow. This uncertainty, combined with the seasonal late-August cooling trend from typical highs near 22°C earlier in the month, supports the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime insolation under overcast conditions versus any clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence how much Atlantic air moderates temperatures. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a daily maximum temperature on August 26 likely between 15°C and 17°C, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, light drizzle potential, and westerly flow. This uncertainty, combined with the seasonal late-August cooling trend from typical highs near 22°C earlier in the month, supports the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those values. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime insolation under overcast conditions versus any clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence how much Atlantic air moderates temperatures. Updated ensemble runs and official guidance from meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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