Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern over Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32 °C and overnight radiative cooling limited by high sea-surface temperatures, moderate humidity, and light westerly sea breezes, producing expected minimums of 23–24 °C on August 25. This consensus aligns with the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C bins while the elevated weighting on 28 °C or higher reflects trader caution over potential model revisions or localized urban-heat effects that could keep the overnight low warmer than climatological norms. August 2026 has run 1–2 °C above the long-term average so far, with recent recorded lows mostly 24–26 °C, reinforcing the view that any strengthening of the subtropical ridge or reduced cloud cover could push the minimum higher. Key upcoming catalysts include the next IMS bulletin and updated model runs within the next 24–48 hours, which will clarify whether steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift the overnight minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
28°C or higher 88%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
12%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
88%
28°C or higher 88%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 23%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$119 Vol.
5%
20°C
$75 Vol.
20%
21°C
$6 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$20 Vol.
1%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern over Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32 °C and overnight radiative cooling limited by high sea-surface temperatures, moderate humidity, and light westerly sea breezes, producing expected minimums of 23–24 °C on August 25. This consensus aligns with the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C bins while the elevated weighting on 28 °C or higher reflects trader caution over potential model revisions or localized urban-heat effects that could keep the overnight low warmer than climatological norms. August 2026 has run 1–2 °C above the long-term average so far, with recent recorded lows mostly 24–26 °C, reinforcing the view that any strengthening of the subtropical ridge or reduced cloud cover could push the minimum higher. Key upcoming catalysts include the next IMS bulletin and updated model runs within the next 24–48 hours, which will clarify whether steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$580Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern over Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32 °C and overnight radiative cooling limited by high sea-surface temperatures, moderate humidity, and light westerly sea breezes, producing expected minimums of 23–24 °C on August 25. This consensus aligns with the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C bins while the elevated weighting on 28 °C or higher reflects trader caution over potential model revisions or localized urban-heat effects that could keep the overnight low warmer than climatological norms. August 2026 has run 1–2 °C above the long-term average so far, with recent recorded lows mostly 24–26 °C, reinforcing the view that any strengthening of the subtropical ridge or reduced cloud cover could push the minimum higher. Key upcoming catalysts include the next IMS bulletin and updated model runs within the next 24–48 hours, which will clarify whether steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a typical late-summer Mediterranean pattern over Tel Aviv, with daytime highs near 31–32 °C and overnight radiative cooling limited by high sea-surface temperatures, moderate humidity, and light westerly sea breezes, producing expected minimums of 23–24 °C on August 25. This consensus aligns with the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C bins while the elevated weighting on 28 °C or higher reflects trader caution over potential model revisions or localized urban-heat effects that could keep the overnight low warmer than climatological norms. August 2026 has run 1–2 °C above the long-term average so far, with recent recorded lows mostly 24–26 °C, reinforcing the view that any strengthening of the subtropical ridge or reduced cloud cover could push the minimum higher. Key upcoming catalysts include the next IMS bulletin and updated model runs within the next 24–48 hours, which will clarify whether steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture shift the overnight minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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