Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 37% and 47%. In Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August overnight lows typically average near 26°C due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies. Current model guidance shows stable conditions with daytime highs near 32–33°C and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence, supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Any revisions to short-range models or new observational data from regional stations could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 47%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
30°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
47%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
8%
27°C 47%
26°C 32%
28°C 15%
30°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C
$5 Vol.
11%
24°C
$38 Vol.
6%
25°C
$33 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$41 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$76 Vol.
8%
30°C
$5 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 37% and 47%. In Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August overnight lows typically average near 26°C due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies. Current model guidance shows stable conditions with daytime highs near 32–33°C and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence, supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Any revisions to short-range models or new observational data from regional stations could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$203Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 37% and 47%. In Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August overnight lows typically average near 26°C due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies. Current model guidance shows stable conditions with daytime highs near 32–33°C and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence, supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Any revisions to short-range models or new observational data from regional stations could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 37% and 47%. In Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate, late-August overnight lows typically average near 26°C due to persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies. Current model guidance shows stable conditions with daytime highs near 32–33°C and minimal frontal activity or typhoon influence, supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Any revisions to short-range models or new observational data from regional stations could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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