Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over Seoul and Incheon through late August, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 25–26°C for August 26, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Historical August lows average near 22–24°C, but the current late-summer pattern—marked by daytime highs near 32°C and minimal frontal activity—has kept recent observed minima elevated at 24–25°C. Overcast skies expected on the 26th further reduce the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, while any model consensus on steering patterns or precipitation timing has not yet signaled a shift toward cooler air. Updated short-range guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 7%
27°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
24°C 7%
27°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$18 Vol.
1%
23°C
$59 Vol.
3%
24°C
$202 Vol.
7%
25°C
$89 Vol.
34%
26°C
$1,964 Vol.
55%
27°C
$63 Vol.
5%
28°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
1%
30°C
$39 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over Seoul and Incheon through late August, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 25–26°C for August 26, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Historical August lows average near 22–24°C, but the current late-summer pattern—marked by daytime highs near 32°C and minimal frontal activity—has kept recent observed minima elevated at 24–25°C. Overcast skies expected on the 26th further reduce the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, while any model consensus on steering patterns or precipitation timing has not yet signaled a shift toward cooler air. Updated short-range guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,757Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over Seoul and Incheon through late August, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 25–26°C for August 26, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Historical August lows average near 22–24°C, but the current late-summer pattern—marked by daytime highs near 32°C and minimal frontal activity—has kept recent observed minima elevated at 24–25°C. Overcast skies expected on the 26th further reduce the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, while any model consensus on steering patterns or precipitation timing has not yet signaled a shift toward cooler air. Updated short-range guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,757Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate persistent warm, humid conditions over Seoul and Incheon through late August, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 25–26°C for August 26, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Historical August lows average near 22–24°C, but the current late-summer pattern—marked by daytime highs near 32°C and minimal frontal activity—has kept recent observed minima elevated at 24–25°C. Overcast skies expected on the 26th further reduce the chance of sharper nocturnal drops, while any model consensus on steering patterns or precipitation timing has not yet signaled a shift toward cooler air. Updated short-range guidance and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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